Friday, October 24, 2008

Some Thoughts on Tomorrow's Kentucky Game

- Hope we start the game off on a good note; the offense needs to come out clicking so as to prevent a possible early deficit. We've struggled coming out of the gate during early games; we looked bad for a quarter against Hawaii, lost to Ole Miss because of a bad start, and struggled for a half against Arkansas. Tomorrow needs to be a statement game for Florida; it needs to show that the Gators aren't looking ahead to the Georgia game, that the team is focused on beating Kentucky.

- Kentucky's going to be the toughest defense Florida's faced up to this point in the season. The Wildcats are 18th in total defense and 7th in scoring defense. On the flip side of that, the best scoring offense Kentucky has faced is ranked 36th in the nation, and Kentucky has only played two teams with a scoring offense in the nation's top 50. Florida, by contrast, is ranked 16th in this category.

- Kentucky's front seven has played lights out so far this year, and the team is 15th in the nation in sacks and 18th in tackles for loss. Look for the Wildcats to use blitzes to try and keep Tebow out of rhythm. If they manage to do so with a four man rush, it'll be interesting to see how Meyer and the Florida coaching staff adjusts.

- Kentucky's weak spot is their rush defense, as it is ranked 51st in the nation. Look for Florida to try and exploit this early and often with Chris Rainey and Jeffrey Demps. If they have success early, the game could get out of hand quickly for the Wildcats.

- Offensively for Kentucky, it will be interesting to see how they perform against Florida's defense; they're 88th in the nation in rush offense, while Florida is ranked 15th in rush defense. Kentucky is ranked 76th in pass offense, while Florida is ranked 26th in pass defense. Given this, it will be interesting to see what UK's offensive gameplan is going to be; with the losses of Demoreo Ford and Derrick Locke, Randall Cobb is going to be their primary playmaker on offense. He had 5 catches for 73 yards against Arkansas, including two late touchdown receptions that helped give the Wildcats a one point win over the Razorbacks. Look for him to matchup against freshman cornerback Janoris Jenkins. If they can put the clamps on Cobb, Kentucky is going to be hard pressed to move the ball.

- Kentucky is 9th in the nation in pass defense, thanks in large part due to cornerback Trevard Lindley. He should be matched up against Percy Harvin; given this, it will be interesting to see how Tebow responds to their secondary, and whether or not any of Florida's other receivers step up should Harvin be limited. Look for whether or not Louis Murphy, Aaron Hernandez, or Deonte Thompson becomes more involved in the passing game, and whether or not Harvin does more in the running game if his pass catching opportunities are limited by Lindley.

Prediction: Kentucky will give Florida problems early on, but Florida gets it together on offense before pulling away.

Score:
Florida 31
Kentucky 14

No comments: